Hai-Anh H. Dang, Peter F. Lanjouw, and Rob Swinkels
- Published in print:
- 2017
- Published Online:
- April 2017
- ISBN:
- 9780198797692
- eISBN:
- 9780191839054
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198797692.003.0008
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Development, Growth, and Environmental
Assessment of poverty dynamics can usefully inform poverty reduction policy, notably for the design of social protection interventions, but require panel data. Without actual panel data for Senegal, ...
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Assessment of poverty dynamics can usefully inform poverty reduction policy, notably for the design of social protection interventions, but require panel data. Without actual panel data for Senegal, this chapter applies new statistical methods to construct synthetic panel data from cross-sectional household surveys in 2005 and 2011 to study poverty transitions. In marked contrast to the picture obtained from cross-sectional data, the results suggest much mobility in and out of poverty during this period. More than half the population experiences poverty transition and more than two-thirds of the extreme (food) poor move up one or two welfare categories. Factors such as rural residence, disability, exposure to some kind of natural disaster, and informality in the labour market are associated with heightened risk of falling into poverty, while the opposite holds for factors such as belonging to certain ethnicities, migration, working in the non-agricultural sector, and having access to social capital.Less
Assessment of poverty dynamics can usefully inform poverty reduction policy, notably for the design of social protection interventions, but require panel data. Without actual panel data for Senegal, this chapter applies new statistical methods to construct synthetic panel data from cross-sectional household surveys in 2005 and 2011 to study poverty transitions. In marked contrast to the picture obtained from cross-sectional data, the results suggest much mobility in and out of poverty during this period. More than half the population experiences poverty transition and more than two-thirds of the extreme (food) poor move up one or two welfare categories. Factors such as rural residence, disability, exposure to some kind of natural disaster, and informality in the labour market are associated with heightened risk of falling into poverty, while the opposite holds for factors such as belonging to certain ethnicities, migration, working in the non-agricultural sector, and having access to social capital.
