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Reduced Perplexity: A Simplified Perspective on Assessing Probabilistic Forecasts

Kenric P. Nelson

in Advances in Info-Metrics: Information and Information Processing across Disciplines

Published in print:
2020
Published Online:
December 2020
ISBN:
9780190636685
eISBN:
9780190636722
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/oso/9780190636685.003.0012
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Microeconomics

This chapter introduces a simple, intuitive approach to the assessment of probabilistic inferences. The Shannon information metrics are translated to the probability domain. The translation shows ... More


Accuracy and the Laws of Credence

Richard Pettigrew

Published in print:
2016
Published Online:
May 2016
ISBN:
9780198732716
eISBN:
9780191797019
Item type:
book
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198732716.001.0001
Subject:
Philosophy, Metaphysics/Epistemology, Philosophy of Science

This book explores a particular way of justifying the rational principles that govern credences (or degrees of belief). The main principles that the book justifies are the central tenets of Bayesian ... More


Measuring accuracy: existing accounts

Richard Pettigrew

in Accuracy and the Laws of Credence

Published in print:
2016
Published Online:
May 2016
ISBN:
9780198732716
eISBN:
9780191797019
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198732716.003.0004
Subject:
Philosophy, Metaphysics/Epistemology, Philosophy of Science

This chapter surveys the existing attempts to characterize the legitimate inaccuracy measures. It considers characterizations due to James M. Joyce as well as the characterization offered by Hannes ... More


Measuring accuracy: a new account

Richard Pettigrew

in Accuracy and the Laws of Credence

Published in print:
2016
Published Online:
May 2016
ISBN:
9780198732716
eISBN:
9780191797019
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198732716.003.0005
Subject:
Philosophy, Metaphysics/Epistemology, Philosophy of Science

This chapter presents the preferred characterization of the legitimate inaccuracy measures. It begins by characterizing all of the strictly proper inaccuracy measures. Later, a further condition is ... More


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