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Using global VAR models for scenario-based forecasting and policy analysis

Greenwood-Nimmo Matthew, Nguyen Viet Hoang, and Shin Yongcheol

in The GVAR Handbook: Structure and Applications of a Macro Model of the Global Economy for Policy Analysis

Published in print:
2013
Published Online:
May 2013
ISBN:
9780199670086
eISBN:
9780191749469
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199670086.003.0007
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics

This chapter demonstrates the usefulness of the GVAR modelling framework as a tool for scenario-based forecasting and counterfactual analysis. Working with the GVAR model developed by ... More


Conclusions

Feng Zhang and Richard Ned Lebow

in Taming Sino-American Rivalry

Published in print:
2020
Published Online:
July 2020
ISBN:
9780197521946
eISBN:
9780197521984
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/oso/9780197521946.003.0008
Subject:
Political Science, American Politics, International Relations and Politics

Good analysis must meet three conditions: it must ask questions that have policy relevance; it must build on a plausible set of assumptions about how the world works; and it must recognize the ... More


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