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Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises

Jerome L. Stein

Published in print:
2006
Published Online:
May 2006
ISBN:
9780199280575
eISBN:
9780191603501
Item type:
book
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0199280576.001.0001
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Financial Economics

This book focuses on the interaction between equilibrium real exchange rates, optimal external debt, endogenous optimal growth, and current account balances in a world of uncertainty. The theoretical ... More


The NATREX model of the equilibrium real exchange rate

Jerome L. Stein

in Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises

Published in print:
2006
Published Online:
May 2006
ISBN:
9780199280575
eISBN:
9780191603501
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0199280576.003.0004
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Financial Economics

The NATREX is a model of the equilibrium real exchange rate, which is where the real exchange rate is heading. The NATREX model has two components: the long-run equilibrium real exchange rate and the ... More


The transition economies: A NATREX evaluation of research 1

Jerome L. Stein

in Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises

Published in print:
2006
Published Online:
May 2006
ISBN:
9780199280575
eISBN:
9780191603501
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0199280576.003.0006
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Financial Economics

On the basis of the NATREX model, several key studies are evaluated to answer the questions: How can the trends in the real exchange rates of the transition economies of Eastern Europe be explained? ... More


Optimal debt and equilibrium exchange rates in a stochastic environment: an overview

Jerome L. Stein

in Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises

Published in print:
2006
Published Online:
May 2006
ISBN:
9780199280575
eISBN:
9780191603501
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0199280576.003.0001
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Financial Economics

This overview chapter explains the relevance and the contributions of this book to economic theory and policy. The economic theory and mathematics developed in chapters 2 and 3 derive benchmarks for ... More


Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates

Jerome L. Stein and Polly Reynolds Allen

Published in print:
1998
Published Online:
November 2003
ISBN:
9780198293064
eISBN:
9780191596940
Item type:
book
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0198293062.001.0001
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics, International

The NATREX approach offers an alternative paradigm to the Purchasing Power Parity for equilibrium real exchange rates. NATREX is the acronym for NATural Real EXchange, referring to a medium‐run, ... More


The Economic and Policy Implications of the NATREX Approach

Polly Reynolds Allen

in Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates

Published in print:
1998
Published Online:
November 2003
ISBN:
9780198293064
eISBN:
9780191596940
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0198293062.003.0001
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics, International

An outline is given of the NATREX approach to determining equilibrium real exchange rates as presented in the book. The underlying framework, implications, supporting empirical evidence, and relation ... More


The Natural Real Exchange Rate of the United States Dollar, and Determinants of Capital Flows

Jerome L. Stein

in Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates

Published in print:
1998
Published Online:
November 2003
ISBN:
9780198293064
eISBN:
9780191596940
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0198293062.003.0002
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics, International

To what extent has the real exchange rate of the US dollar been as stable as is justified by the ”fundamentals” – fiscal policy, private saving ratio, productivity, rate of return on investment, real ... More


Dynamics of Crises

Giovanni Piersanti

in The Macroeconomic Theory of Exchange Rate Crises

Published in print:
2012
Published Online:
September 2012
ISBN:
9780199653126
eISBN:
9780191741210
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199653126.003.0005
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics

In order to describe the path followed by major macroeconomic variable around the time of crises, this chapter examines some dynamic models. It thus shows how the dynamic adjustment path of the ... More


United States current account deficits: A stochastic optimal control analysis 1

Jerome L. Stein

in Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises

Published in print:
2006
Published Online:
May 2006
ISBN:
9780199280575
eISBN:
9780191603501
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0199280576.003.0009
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Financial Economics

For nearly a quarter of a century, the US has persistently run significant current account deficits that transformed it from the world’s largest net creditor to its largest debtor. The stochastic ... More


The Dynamics of the Real Exchange Rate and Current Account in a Small Open Economy: Australia

Guay C. Lim and Jerome L. Stein

in Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates

Published in print:
1998
Published Online:
November 2003
ISBN:
9780198293064
eISBN:
9780191596940
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0198293062.003.0003
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics, International

The underlying movements in the equilibrium real exchange rate – NATREX – in Australia are explained by the evolution of the fundamentals. They are: the terms of trade, the private saving ratio, ... More


The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate of Germany

Jerome L. Stein

in Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates

Published in print:
1998
Published Online:
November 2003
ISBN:
9780198293064
eISBN:
9780191596940
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0198293062.003.0006
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics, International

The longer‐term systematic determinants of the real effective exchange rate of Germany are both domestic and external. The main domestic determinants are time preference, the ratio of public plus ... More


The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate: Theory and Evidence for Latin America

Michael Connolly and John Devereux

in Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates

Published in print:
1998
Published Online:
November 2003
ISBN:
9780198293064
eISBN:
9780191596940
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0198293062.003.0005
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics, International

Our empirical results suggest that movements in the equilibrium real exchange rate NATREX for Latin American economies over the period 1960–85 can be explained in terms of growth, openness, and ... More


The Natural Real Exchange Rate Between the French Franc and the Deutschmark: Implications for Monetary Union

Liliane L. Crouhy‐Veyrac and Michèle Saint Marc

in Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates

Published in print:
1998
Published Online:
November 2003
ISBN:
9780198293064
eISBN:
9780191596940
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/0198293062.003.0004
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics, International

The bilateral French/German real exchange rate does respond to the real fundamentals of relative thrift and productivity as predicted by the NATREX model. Increases in relative thrift, measured by ... More


Imperfect Knowledge, Asset Price Swings, and Structural Slumps: A Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Analysis of Their Interdependence

Katarina Juselius

in Rethinking Expectations: The Way Forward for Macroeconomics

Published in print:
2013
Published Online:
October 2017
ISBN:
9780691155234
eISBN:
9781400846450
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
DOI:
10.23943/princeton/9780691155234.003.0011
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics

This chapter examines the relationship between speculation in the currency markets and aggregate activity in the real economy by drawing on the Structural Slumps theory and the theory of Imperfect ... More


A Primer on Exchange Rate Behavior

JAMES R. LOTHIAN and MARK P. TAYLOR

in International Finance: A Survey

Published in print:
2012
Published Online:
May 2013
ISBN:
9780199754656
eISBN:
9780199979462
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199754656.003.0002
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Financial Economics, International

Exchange rate behavior has been a major concern in international finance since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system of pegged exchange rates in the early 1970s. This chapter reviews the ... More


Exchange Rate Misalignment and International Law 1

Claus D. Zimmerman

in A Contemporary Concept of Monetary Sovereignty

Published in print:
2013
Published Online:
January 2014
ISBN:
9780199680740
eISBN:
9780191760686
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199680740.003.0004
Subject:
Law, Public International Law, Company and Commercial Law

This chapter aims to contribute to a better understanding of the following two-fold question: To what extent can a contested practice like the maintenance of an undervalued real exchange rate be ... More


Endogenous Volatility in an Open Economy

Phillippe Aghion and Abhijit Banerjee

in Volatility and Growth

Published in print:
2005
Published Online:
January 2007
ISBN:
9780199248612
eISBN:
9780191714719
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199248612.003.0006
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Development, Growth, and Environmental

This chapter argues that financial liberalization introduces a new problem: Now the real exchange rate, which is the relative price between nontradable and tradable, becomes a source of instability. ... More


Economic Development and the International Financial System 1

Roberto Frenkel and Martin Rapetti

in Time for a Visible Hand: Lessons from the 2008 World Financial Crisis

Published in print:
2010
Published Online:
February 2010
ISBN:
9780199578801
eISBN:
9780191723285
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199578801.003.0014
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics, Financial Economics

Frenkel and Rapetti argue in their chapter that the emerging market economies found in the 2000s a new way to participate in the global financial markets. In their view, one of the most important ... More


Are Currency Appreciations Contractionary in China?

Jianhuai Shi (ed.)

in International Financial Issues in the Pacific Rim: Global Imbalances, Financial Liberalization, and Exchange Rate Policy

Published in print:
2008
Published Online:
February 2013
ISBN:
9780226386829
eISBN:
9780226387086
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
University of Chicago Press
DOI:
10.7208/chicago/9780226387086.003.0004
Subject:
Economics and Finance, South and East Asia

This chapter examines the relationship between the renminbi (RMB) real exchange rate and China's output by using the vector autoregression (VAR) model technique. The results show that RMB real ... More


The Real Exchange Rate, the Real Wage, and Growth: A Formal Analysis of the “Development Channel”

Jaime Ros

in Macroeconomics and Development: Roberto Frenkel and the Economics of Latin America

Published in print:
2016
Published Online:
September 2016
ISBN:
9780231175081
eISBN:
9780231541213
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231175081.003.0011
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics

the chapter presents a model that shows the transmission mechanism -what the author calls the “profitability channel”- through which the level of the real exchange rate affects the rate of economic ... More


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