Paul Webb
- Published in print:
- 2002
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780199240562
- eISBN:
- 9780191600296
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0199240566.003.0002
- Subject:
- Political Science, Comparative Politics
For thirty years following the end of the Second World War, it was orthodox to regard Britain as having one of the most stable and party‐oriented political systems in the Western world—parties ...
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For thirty years following the end of the Second World War, it was orthodox to regard Britain as having one of the most stable and party‐oriented political systems in the Western world—parties penetrated state and society so significantly that it was virtually impossible to conceive of political life in the country without thinking first and foremost of party political life. However, since the middle of the 1970s, old certainties have been challenged by a continuing and multi‐dimensional debate about the transformation of British party politics. This challenge is predicated on a number of interconnected developments, which include: the apparent growth of electoral volatility; the spread of partisan and class dealignment; the emergence of nationalist cleavages in Scotland and Wales, which have threatened to fragment the national political culture; the erosion of two‐party electoral domination; and the growing chorus of criticism levelled at the damaging iniquities of the electoral system and the adversarial ‘winner‐takes‐all’ political mentality that is closely associated with it. Despite this, the single‐member plurality (SMP) (first‐past‐the‐post) electoral system continues to ensure that single‐party majority governments remain the norm. This chapter looks at what such changes imply for the general status of parties in the country, and is arranged in the same three sections as the other country case studies in the book; these examine the popular legitimacy of British political parties, their organizational strength, and their systemic functionalities (in governance and political recruitment, interest articulation and aggregation, political communication, and political participation).Less
For thirty years following the end of the Second World War, it was orthodox to regard Britain as having one of the most stable and party‐oriented political systems in the Western world—parties penetrated state and society so significantly that it was virtually impossible to conceive of political life in the country without thinking first and foremost of party political life. However, since the middle of the 1970s, old certainties have been challenged by a continuing and multi‐dimensional debate about the transformation of British party politics. This challenge is predicated on a number of interconnected developments, which include: the apparent growth of electoral volatility; the spread of partisan and class dealignment; the emergence of nationalist cleavages in Scotland and Wales, which have threatened to fragment the national political culture; the erosion of two‐party electoral domination; and the growing chorus of criticism levelled at the damaging iniquities of the electoral system and the adversarial ‘winner‐takes‐all’ political mentality that is closely associated with it. Despite this, the single‐member plurality (SMP) (first‐past‐the‐post) electoral system continues to ensure that single‐party majority governments remain the norm. This chapter looks at what such changes imply for the general status of parties in the country, and is arranged in the same three sections as the other country case studies in the book; these examine the popular legitimacy of British political parties, their organizational strength, and their systemic functionalities (in governance and political recruitment, interest articulation and aggregation, political communication, and political participation).
Edward Fieldhouse, Jane Green, Geoffrey Evans, Jonathan Mellon, Christopher Prosser, Hermann Schmitt, and Cees van der Eijk
- Published in print:
- 2019
- Published Online:
- January 2020
- ISBN:
- 9780198800583
- eISBN:
- 9780191840074
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/oso/9780198800583.003.0004
- Subject:
- Political Science, UK Politics
In this chapter we show how the twin processes of partisan dealignment and party system fragmentation have underpinned the increase in electoral volatility. Fragmentation creates volatility because ...
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In this chapter we show how the twin processes of partisan dealignment and party system fragmentation have underpinned the increase in electoral volatility. Fragmentation creates volatility because smaller parties consistently lose a much higher proportion of their voters between elections than the major parties. Partisan dealignment matters because there is a strong and consistent relationship between a voter’s level of partisanship and the likelihood of them switching parties at the next election. While this accounts for a substantial proportion of the trend in volatility, it is less clear why partisan identification has itself declined. We show a clear pattern of generational replacement in partisan identification, with newer cohorts entering with lower levels of partisanship and remaining relatively stable over time.Less
In this chapter we show how the twin processes of partisan dealignment and party system fragmentation have underpinned the increase in electoral volatility. Fragmentation creates volatility because smaller parties consistently lose a much higher proportion of their voters between elections than the major parties. Partisan dealignment matters because there is a strong and consistent relationship between a voter’s level of partisanship and the likelihood of them switching parties at the next election. While this accounts for a substantial proportion of the trend in volatility, it is less clear why partisan identification has itself declined. We show a clear pattern of generational replacement in partisan identification, with newer cohorts entering with lower levels of partisanship and remaining relatively stable over time.
Edward Fieldhouse, Jane Green, Geoffrey Evans, Jonathan Mellon, Christopher Prosser, Hermann Schmitt, and Cees van der Eijk
- Published in print:
- 2019
- Published Online:
- January 2020
- ISBN:
- 9780198800583
- eISBN:
- 9780191840074
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/oso/9780198800583.003.0003
- Subject:
- Political Science, UK Politics
This chapter sets out a novel theoretical approach for understanding electoral change. This approach focuses on the mechanisms and consequences of electoral shocks in the context of electoral ...
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This chapter sets out a novel theoretical approach for understanding electoral change. This approach focuses on the mechanisms and consequences of electoral shocks in the context of electoral volatility. The chapter sets out the reasons for focusing on shocks, a definition of electoral shocks, and the mechanisms through which shocks affect voting behaviour. We argue that the consequences of electoral shocks depend on how politicians respond to those shocks and compete around them, and how they are politicized in the wider media environment. The chapter explains why the gradual destabilization of the party system means that electoral shocks are having increasingly dramatic consequences.Less
This chapter sets out a novel theoretical approach for understanding electoral change. This approach focuses on the mechanisms and consequences of electoral shocks in the context of electoral volatility. The chapter sets out the reasons for focusing on shocks, a definition of electoral shocks, and the mechanisms through which shocks affect voting behaviour. We argue that the consequences of electoral shocks depend on how politicians respond to those shocks and compete around them, and how they are politicized in the wider media environment. The chapter explains why the gradual destabilization of the party system means that electoral shocks are having increasingly dramatic consequences.
Nils Jungmann, Ina Bieber, Manuela Blumenberg, and Konstantin Glinitzer
- Published in print:
- 2022
- Published Online:
- April 2022
- ISBN:
- 9780198847519
- eISBN:
- 9780191882197
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/oso/9780198847519.003.0011
- Subject:
- Political Science, Comparative Politics
The chapter investigates the influence of changing candidate orientations on the probability to switch votes away from or toward a party between the German federal elections of 2013 and 2017. While ...
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The chapter investigates the influence of changing candidate orientations on the probability to switch votes away from or toward a party between the German federal elections of 2013 and 2017. While both electoral volatility and candidate voting are considered potential consequences of an increasing partisan dealignment in Western democracies, there is still a debate about the link between these two phenomena. Employing data from an inter- and intra-election panel survey, the chapter suggests an influence of changing candidate orientations on vote switching independent of partisan attachments and other determinants of vote switching. An improvement in the evaluation of the candidate of the party a person voted for in 2013 decreased the probability of switching to another party in 2017. Likewise, viewing the candidate of the party a person voted for in 2017 more favorably than his/her predecessor was associated with a higher probability to have switched to this party.Less
The chapter investigates the influence of changing candidate orientations on the probability to switch votes away from or toward a party between the German federal elections of 2013 and 2017. While both electoral volatility and candidate voting are considered potential consequences of an increasing partisan dealignment in Western democracies, there is still a debate about the link between these two phenomena. Employing data from an inter- and intra-election panel survey, the chapter suggests an influence of changing candidate orientations on vote switching independent of partisan attachments and other determinants of vote switching. An improvement in the evaluation of the candidate of the party a person voted for in 2013 decreased the probability of switching to another party in 2017. Likewise, viewing the candidate of the party a person voted for in 2017 more favorably than his/her predecessor was associated with a higher probability to have switched to this party.
Elisabeth Gidengil
- Published in print:
- 2013
- Published Online:
- January 2015
- ISBN:
- 9780199259007
- eISBN:
- 9780191803406
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:osobl/9780199259007.003.0009
- Subject:
- Political Science, Comparative Politics
This chapter asks whether leaders systematically matter more to certain types of voters and systematically less to others. It explores a number of possibilities. The rise of leader-centred politics ...
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This chapter asks whether leaders systematically matter more to certain types of voters and systematically less to others. It explores a number of possibilities. The rise of leader-centred politics thesis, which emphasizes the changing nature of media coverage and the weakening of partisan ties, raises two possibilities, namely that leaders are more important to voters who are more exposed to television news and to voters who lack strong partisan ties. The partisan dealignment thesis suggests that as voters’ ties to political parties have weakened, the number of voters who decide how to vote during the campaign itself has grown, therefore raising the possibility that leaders carry more weight with these ‘late-deciders’. Finally, there is the role of political sophistication that raises one last question: do leaders matter more to unsophisticated voters, or are they just as important to the politically sophisticated?Less
This chapter asks whether leaders systematically matter more to certain types of voters and systematically less to others. It explores a number of possibilities. The rise of leader-centred politics thesis, which emphasizes the changing nature of media coverage and the weakening of partisan ties, raises two possibilities, namely that leaders are more important to voters who are more exposed to television news and to voters who lack strong partisan ties. The partisan dealignment thesis suggests that as voters’ ties to political parties have weakened, the number of voters who decide how to vote during the campaign itself has grown, therefore raising the possibility that leaders carry more weight with these ‘late-deciders’. Finally, there is the role of political sophistication that raises one last question: do leaders matter more to unsophisticated voters, or are they just as important to the politically sophisticated?