Vipin Narang
- Published in print:
- 2014
- Published Online:
- October 2017
- ISBN:
- 9780691159829
- eISBN:
- 9781400850402
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Princeton University Press
- DOI:
- 10.23943/princeton/9780691159829.003.0009
- Subject:
- Political Science, International Relations and Politics
This chapter tests the deterrent effect of regional power nuclear postures in a large-n statistical design to systematically analyze whether, on average, some nuclear postures deter conflict better ...
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This chapter tests the deterrent effect of regional power nuclear postures in a large-n statistical design to systematically analyze whether, on average, some nuclear postures deter conflict better than others. It takes nuclear posture as an independent variable, testing whether these postures have differential effects on states' ability to deter the outbreak of conventional conflict. Compared to when the state did not have nuclear weapons, and compared to other states, this chapter considers what effect we should expect these different postures to have on a state's ability to deter the eruption of conventional conflict (general deterrence) against both nuclear and non-nuclear opponents.Less
This chapter tests the deterrent effect of regional power nuclear postures in a large-n statistical design to systematically analyze whether, on average, some nuclear postures deter conflict better than others. It takes nuclear posture as an independent variable, testing whether these postures have differential effects on states' ability to deter the outbreak of conventional conflict. Compared to when the state did not have nuclear weapons, and compared to other states, this chapter considers what effect we should expect these different postures to have on a state's ability to deter the eruption of conventional conflict (general deterrence) against both nuclear and non-nuclear opponents.
Juan Pablo Luna
- Published in print:
- 2014
- Published Online:
- June 2014
- ISBN:
- 9780199642649
- eISBN:
- 9780191778643
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199642649.003.0008
- Subject:
- Political Science, Comparative Politics
Chapter 7 analyzes the external validity of the argument by using a large-N cross-national analysis combining fuzzy-set analyses with simple econometric models. The descriptive and explanatory ...
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Chapter 7 analyzes the external validity of the argument by using a large-N cross-national analysis combining fuzzy-set analyses with simple econometric models. The descriptive and explanatory framework is extended to four comparative vignettes, testing the framework’s suitability for cases lacking the structural and historical conditions found in Chile and Uruguay. This exercise complements the most-similar systems design applied in the book with a most-different systems exploration, analyzing the segmentation of electoral appeals in the following cases: the PT(Brazil), the MAS in Bolivia, ARENA in El Salvador, and the BJP in India. In addition to permitting the testing of specific propositions identified in Chapter 6, the four shadow cases also support a crucial causal claim made in the book: in unequal societies, parties can prosper by simultaneously segmenting and strategically harmonizing diversified appeals to socially distinct constituencies.Less
Chapter 7 analyzes the external validity of the argument by using a large-N cross-national analysis combining fuzzy-set analyses with simple econometric models. The descriptive and explanatory framework is extended to four comparative vignettes, testing the framework’s suitability for cases lacking the structural and historical conditions found in Chile and Uruguay. This exercise complements the most-similar systems design applied in the book with a most-different systems exploration, analyzing the segmentation of electoral appeals in the following cases: the PT(Brazil), the MAS in Bolivia, ARENA in El Salvador, and the BJP in India. In addition to permitting the testing of specific propositions identified in Chapter 6, the four shadow cases also support a crucial causal claim made in the book: in unequal societies, parties can prosper by simultaneously segmenting and strategically harmonizing diversified appeals to socially distinct constituencies.
