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New Methods for Using Monthly Data to Improve Forecast Accuracy

E. Philip Howrey

in Comparative Performance of U.S. Econometric Models

Published in print:
1991
Published Online:
October 2011
ISBN:
9780195057720
eISBN:
9780199854967
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195057720.003.0008
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Econometrics

Econometric forecasters continually seek ways to increase forecast accuracy. As new data are released, the residuals of forecasting models are examined for evidence of structural change and equations ... More


Managing Risk: The Trials and Tribulations of Hazardous Weather Forecasting

Phaedra Daipha

in Masters of Uncertainty: Weather Forecasters and the Quest for Ground Truth

Published in print:
2015
Published Online:
May 2016
ISBN:
9780226298542
eISBN:
9780226298719
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
University of Chicago Press
DOI:
10.7208/chicago/9780226298719.003.0005
Subject:
Sociology, Science, Technology and Environment

The chapter begins by outlining NWS efforts to articulate and streamline the management of meteorological risk into a government meteorology. To properly showcase the challenges of actually managing ... More


14 Forecasting from nonlinear models

Timo Teräsvirta, Dag Tjøstheim, and W. J. Granger

in Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series

Published in print:
2010
Published Online:
May 2011
ISBN:
9780199587148
eISBN:
9780191595387
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199587148.003.0014
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Econometrics

A major purpose of nonlinear models is forecasting. This often requires numerical techniques, and a few alternatives are considered. There are also cases in which analytical forecasts are available, ... More


Forecasting

Youseop Shin

in Time Series Analysis in the Social Sciences: The Fundamentals

Published in print:
2017
Published Online:
September 2017
ISBN:
9780520293168
eISBN:
9780520966383
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
University of California Press
DOI:
10.1525/california/9780520293168.003.0004
Subject:
Sociology, Law, Crime and Deviance

Chapter Four explains how to predict future values based on the estimated time series model or with algorithms and how to evaluate the accuracy of the estimated model.


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