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Forecasting in Dynamic Factor Models Subject to Structural Instability *

James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson

in The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics: A Festschrift in Honour of David F. Hendry

Published in print:
2009
Published Online:
September 2009
ISBN:
9780199237197
eISBN:
9780191717314
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199237197.003.0007
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Econometrics

This chapter assesses forecasts constructed using dynamic factor models for their reliability in the face of structural breaks. Dynamic factor models have had notable empirical forecasting successes, ... More


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Francis X. Diebold and Glenn D. Rudebusch

in Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting: The Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Approach

Published in print:
2013
Published Online:
October 2017
ISBN:
9780691146805
eISBN:
9781400845415
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
DOI:
10.23943/princeton/9780691146805.003.0004
Subject:
Economics and Finance, History of Economic Thought

This chapter highlights aspects of the vibrant ongoing research program associated with the ideas developed in earlier chapters. It begins with a collage-style sketch of work involving Bayesian ... More


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