Giovanni Piersanti
- Published in print:
- 2012
- Published Online:
- September 2012
- ISBN:
- 9780199653126
- eISBN:
- 9780191741210
- Item type:
- book
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199653126.001.0001
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics
This book deals with the genesis and dynamics of exchange rate crises in fixed or managed exchange rate systems. It provides a comprehensive treatment of the existing theories of exchange rate crises ...
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This book deals with the genesis and dynamics of exchange rate crises in fixed or managed exchange rate systems. It provides a comprehensive treatment of the existing theories of exchange rate crises and of financial market runs. The book aims to provide a survey of both the theoretical literature on international financial crises and a systematic treatment of the analytical models. It analyzes a series of macroeconomic models and demonstrates their properties and conclusions, including comparative statics and dynamic behavior. The models cover the range of phenomena exhibited in modern crises experienced in countries with fixed or managed exchange rate systems. Among the topics covered, beyond currency sustainability, are bank runs, the interaction between bank solvency and currency stability, capital flows and borrowing constraints, uncertainty about government policies, asymmetric information and herding behavior, contagion across markets and countries, financial markets runs and asset price bubbles, strategic interaction among agents and equilibrium selection, the dynamics of speculative attacks and of financial crashes in international capital markets.Less
This book deals with the genesis and dynamics of exchange rate crises in fixed or managed exchange rate systems. It provides a comprehensive treatment of the existing theories of exchange rate crises and of financial market runs. The book aims to provide a survey of both the theoretical literature on international financial crises and a systematic treatment of the analytical models. It analyzes a series of macroeconomic models and demonstrates their properties and conclusions, including comparative statics and dynamic behavior. The models cover the range of phenomena exhibited in modern crises experienced in countries with fixed or managed exchange rate systems. Among the topics covered, beyond currency sustainability, are bank runs, the interaction between bank solvency and currency stability, capital flows and borrowing constraints, uncertainty about government policies, asymmetric information and herding behavior, contagion across markets and countries, financial markets runs and asset price bubbles, strategic interaction among agents and equilibrium selection, the dynamics of speculative attacks and of financial crashes in international capital markets.
Bernt P. Stigum
- Published in print:
- 2014
- Published Online:
- September 2015
- ISBN:
- 9780262028585
- eISBN:
- 9780262323109
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- The MIT Press
- DOI:
- 10.7551/mitpress/9780262028585.003.0007
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Econometrics
Chapter VII has two purposes. One is to study the methodological problems that arise in analysing positively valued time series in foreign exchange. The other is to contrast the analysis of time ...
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Chapter VII has two purposes. One is to study the methodological problems that arise in analysing positively valued time series in foreign exchange. The other is to contrast the analysis of time series in formal econometrics with the analysis of such data in present-day econometrics. The chapter presents an axiomatic data confrontation of a theory of spot and forward exchange in foreign currency markets. In the formulation of the axioms, actual and auxiliary theory and data variables interact in such a way that the problem that usually arise in the analysis of positively valued time series disappears. The data for the empirical analysis comprise observations on spot and forward exchange rates in the market for Swiss Francs and US Dollars. In the empirical analysis, the given data are analysed, first, with the prescriptions of formal econometrics and, then, with the prescriptions on which present-day econometric time-series analysis insist. The statistical results yield different descriptions of the dynamics of foreign exchange and different inferences about the economics of social reality. In doing that the two contrasting empirical analyses provide interesting ingredients for the discussion of how best to incorporate economic theory in empirical analyses.Less
Chapter VII has two purposes. One is to study the methodological problems that arise in analysing positively valued time series in foreign exchange. The other is to contrast the analysis of time series in formal econometrics with the analysis of such data in present-day econometrics. The chapter presents an axiomatic data confrontation of a theory of spot and forward exchange in foreign currency markets. In the formulation of the axioms, actual and auxiliary theory and data variables interact in such a way that the problem that usually arise in the analysis of positively valued time series disappears. The data for the empirical analysis comprise observations on spot and forward exchange rates in the market for Swiss Francs and US Dollars. In the empirical analysis, the given data are analysed, first, with the prescriptions of formal econometrics and, then, with the prescriptions on which present-day econometric time-series analysis insist. The statistical results yield different descriptions of the dynamics of foreign exchange and different inferences about the economics of social reality. In doing that the two contrasting empirical analyses provide interesting ingredients for the discussion of how best to incorporate economic theory in empirical analyses.
