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A Theory of Strategic Anticipation

Rosemary A. Kelanic

in Black Gold and Blackmail: Oil and Great Power Politics

Published in print:
2020
Published Online:
January 2021
ISBN:
9781501748295
eISBN:
9781501749216
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Cornell University Press
DOI:
10.7591/cornell/9781501748295.003.0002
Subject:
Political Science, Security Studies

This chapter explains the book's theory and identifies the two independent variables that drive the choice of anticipatory strategies: the petroleum deficit and the threat to oil imports. When ... More


The Oil Strategies of Nazi Germany

Rosemary A. Kelanic

in Black Gold and Blackmail: Oil and Great Power Politics

Published in print:
2020
Published Online:
January 2021
ISBN:
9781501748295
eISBN:
9781501749216
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Cornell University Press
DOI:
10.7591/cornell/9781501748295.003.0006
Subject:
Political Science, Security Studies

This chapter analyzes four cases that span the Nazi era in Germany. From the beginning of the Nazi regime in March of 1933 until its defeat in April of 1945, the chapter identifies three major ... More


American Efforts to Avoid Vulnerability

Rosemary A. Kelanic

in Black Gold and Blackmail: Oil and Great Power Politics

Published in print:
2020
Published Online:
January 2021
ISBN:
9781501748295
eISBN:
9781501749216
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Cornell University Press
DOI:
10.7591/cornell/9781501748295.003.0007
Subject:
Political Science, Security Studies

This chapter traces U.S. coercive vulnerability, which fluctuated across six distinct cases from 1918 until the volatile 1970s. Though blessed with generous oil resources, the United States ... More


Oil and the Future of Great Power Politics

Rosemary A. Kelanic

in Black Gold and Blackmail: Oil and Great Power Politics

Published in print:
2020
Published Online:
January 2021
ISBN:
9781501748295
eISBN:
9781501749216
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Cornell University Press
DOI:
10.7591/cornell/9781501748295.003.0009
Subject:
Political Science, Security Studies

This concluding chapter explores the implications of the theory for great power politics as China continues to rise in the twenty-first century. If significant quantities of Persian Gulf oil could be ... More


Black Gold and Blackmail: Oil and Great Power Politics

Rosemary A. Kelanic

Published in print:
2020
Published Online:
January 2021
ISBN:
9781501748295
eISBN:
9781501749216
Item type:
book
Publisher:
Cornell University Press
DOI:
10.7591/cornell/9781501748295.001.0001
Subject:
Political Science, Security Studies

This book seeks to explain why great powers adopt such different strategies to protect their oil access from politically motivated disruptions. In extreme cases, such as Imperial Japan in 1941, great ... More


Empirical Tests with Fuzzy-Set Qca

Rosemary A. Kelanic

in Black Gold and Blackmail: Oil and Great Power Politics

Published in print:
2020
Published Online:
January 2021
ISBN:
9781501748295
eISBN:
9781501749216
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Cornell University Press
DOI:
10.7591/cornell/9781501748295.003.0008
Subject:
Political Science, Security Studies

This chapter examines the book's theory further by using fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis methods, which test for necessary and sufficient causal relationships using the logic of set ... More


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