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Weighing the Value of Estimates

Loch K. Johnson

in The Threat on the Horizon: An Inside Account of America's Search for Security after the Cold War

Published in print:
2011
Published Online:
February 2015
ISBN:
9780199737178
eISBN:
9780190252458
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:osobl/9780199737178.003.0006
Subject:
Political Science, Comparative Politics, American Politics

This chapter focuses on the Aspin-Brown Commission's discussions about the usefulness of National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs) as part of the U.S. national security policy. The chapter first looks ... More


The US Intelligence Community’s Assessments of Soviet Intentions: The Collapse of Détente

Keren Yarhi-Milo

in Knowing the Adversary: Leaders, Intelligence, and Assessment of Intentions in International Relations

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
October 2017
ISBN:
9780691159157
eISBN:
9781400850419
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
DOI:
10.23943/princeton/9780691159157.003.0008
Subject:
Political Science, International Relations and Politics

This chapter examines the indicators used by U.S. intelligence organizations to assess the intentions of the Soviet Union. Drawing on National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs) produced on the Soviet ... More


The US Intelligence Community’s Assessments of Soviet Intentions: The End of the Cold War

Keren Yarhi-Milo

in Knowing the Adversary: Leaders, Intelligence, and Assessment of Intentions in International Relations

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
October 2017
ISBN:
9780691159157
eISBN:
9781400850419
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
DOI:
10.23943/princeton/9780691159157.003.0011
Subject:
Political Science, International Relations and Politics

This chapter examines the indicators used by U.S. intelligence organizations to assess the intentions of the Soviet Union. Drawing on National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs) produced on the Soviet ... More


A Second Retreat

Loch K. Johnson

in The Threat on the Horizon: An Inside Account of America's Search for Security after the Cold War

Published in print:
2011
Published Online:
February 2015
ISBN:
9780199737178
eISBN:
9780190252458
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:osobl/9780199737178.003.0010
Subject:
Political Science, Comparative Politics, American Politics

This chapter focuses on the Aspin-Brown Commission's retreat in Leesburg, its second after a similar retreat at Camp Peary near Williamsburg; both venues are in Virginia. The chapter first considers ... More


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