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Downside Potential Under Risk: The Allais Paradox and Its Conflicting Interpretations

Eric Barthalon

in Uncertainty, Expectations, and Financial Instability: Reviving Allais's Lost Theory of Psychological Time

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
November 2015
ISBN:
9780231166287
eISBN:
9780231538305
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231166287.003.0010
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics

This chapter focuses on the psychological importance of downside risk by presenting Maurice Allais's paradox and by contrasting how Allais and prospect theory have interpreted this paradox. It also ... More


Uncertainty, Expectations, and Financial Instability: Reviving Allais's Lost Theory of Psychological Time

Eric Barthalon

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
November 2015
ISBN:
9780231166287
eISBN:
9780231538305
Item type:
book
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231166287.001.0001
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics

This book applies the neglected theory of psychological time and memory decay of Nobel Prize–winning economist Maurice Allais (1911–2010) to model investors' psychology in the present context of ... More


Microfoundations of Monetary Dynamics: The HRL Formulation of the Demand for Money

Eric Barthalon

in Uncertainty, Expectations, and Financial Instability: Reviving Allais's Lost Theory of Psychological Time

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
November 2015
ISBN:
9780231166287
eISBN:
9780231538305
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231166287.003.0004
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics

This chapter examines the microfoundations of Maurice Allais's theory of monetary dynamics, with particular emphasis on his hereditary, relativist, and logistic (HRL) formulation of the demand for ... More


The HRL Formulation and Nominal Interest Rates

Eric Barthalon

in Uncertainty, Expectations, and Financial Instability: Reviving Allais's Lost Theory of Psychological Time

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
November 2015
ISBN:
9780231166287
eISBN:
9780231538305
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231166287.003.0008
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics

This chapter extends the field of application of the theory of psychological time and memory decay to nominal interest rates by looking at their correlation with the perceived rate of nominal growth ... More


Macrofoundations of Monetary Dynamics

Eric Barthalon

in Uncertainty, Expectations, and Financial Instability: Reviving Allais's Lost Theory of Psychological Time

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
November 2015
ISBN:
9780231166287
eISBN:
9780231538305
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231166287.003.0003
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics

This chapter examines the macrofoundations of Maurice Allais's theory of monetary dynamics. In particular, it considers Allais's theoretical contributions with respect to the establishment—through ... More


Joint Testing of the HRL Formulation of the Demand for Money and of the Fundamental Equation of Monetary Dynamics

Eric Barthalon

in Uncertainty, Expectations, and Financial Instability: Reviving Allais's Lost Theory of Psychological Time

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
November 2015
ISBN:
9780231166287
eISBN:
9780231538305
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231166287.003.0006
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics

This chapter focuses on the simultaneous testing of the compatibility of both the HRL formulation of the demand for money and the fundamental equation of monetary dynamics (FEMD) with empirical data. ... More


The Fundamental Equation of Monetary Dynamics

Eric Barthalon

in Uncertainty, Expectations, and Financial Instability: Reviving Allais's Lost Theory of Psychological Time

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
November 2015
ISBN:
9780231166287
eISBN:
9780231538305
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231166287.003.0005
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics

This chapter examines Maurice Allais's fundamental equation of monetary dynamics (FEMD), which introduces the gap between desired and effective money balances in the differential expression of ... More


From Chicago to Paris: The Debate Continues, 1950–1952

Ivan Moscati

in Measuring Utility: From the Marginal Revolution to Behavioral Economics

Published in print:
2018
Published Online:
December 2018
ISBN:
9780199372768
eISBN:
9780199372805
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/oso/9780199372768.003.0012
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Microeconomics

Chapter 11 studies the second phase of the debate on expected utility theory (EUT), which commenced in May 1950, when Paul Samuelson, Leonard J. Savage, Jacob Marschak, Milton Friedman, and William ... More


Conclusion

Eric Barthalon

in Uncertainty, Expectations, and Financial Instability: Reviving Allais's Lost Theory of Psychological Time

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
November 2015
ISBN:
9780231166287
eISBN:
9780231538305
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231166287.003.0012
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics

This book concludes by summarizing the key arguments in the form of a comparison of the HRL formulation with the rational expectations hypothesis (REH). It explains what makes Maurice Allais's ... More


Perceived Returns and the Modeling of Financial Behavior

Eric Barthalon

in Uncertainty, Expectations, and Financial Instability: Reviving Allais's Lost Theory of Psychological Time

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
November 2015
ISBN:
9780231166287
eISBN:
9780231538305
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231166287.003.0009
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics

This chapter describes a few simple models that explain financial behavior by the perceived returns on financial assets and thereby provide evidence of positive feedback from past returns to the ... More


Downside Potential Under Uncertainty: The Perceived Risk of Loss

Eric Barthalon

in Uncertainty, Expectations, and Financial Instability: Reviving Allais's Lost Theory of Psychological Time

Published in print:
2014
Published Online:
November 2015
ISBN:
9780231166287
eISBN:
9780231538305
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Columbia University Press
DOI:
10.7312/columbia/9780231166287.003.0011
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics

This chapter examines how time can be introduced in the assessment of downside risk, that is, how Maurice Allais's paradox and his theory of psychological time can be combined into the perceived risk ... More


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