Michio Morishima
- Published in print:
- 1969
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198281641
- eISBN:
- 9780191596667
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198281641.003.0007
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Development, Growth, and Environmental
In the previous chapter, the state of balanced growth of all outputs with continued full employment of labour was described in terms of six sets of inequalities. Such a state of affairs has been ...
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In the previous chapter, the state of balanced growth of all outputs with continued full employment of labour was described in terms of six sets of inequalities. Such a state of affairs has been called a Silvery Equilibrium, which is reduced to the familiar Golden Equilibrium in the particular case where no worker saves and no capitalist consumes at all. In this chapter, the existence is established of a balanced growth at the natural rate in one step but not two. The impossibility of perverse cases is demonstrated if various assumptions put forward in Ch. 6 are made. The new argument uses game theory as before. The different sections of the chapter look at the game‐theoretic approach, the preliminary production‐pricing game, the existence and uniqueness of the ‘fair’ wage rate, equivalence between the ‘game‐theoretic’ and ‘balanced growth’ solutions, groping for the equilibrium game, the equilibrium game and the Silvery Equilibrium, and characterization of the fair wage rate as the warranted and the greatest technically possible real wage rate.Less
In the previous chapter, the state of balanced growth of all outputs with continued full employment of labour was described in terms of six sets of inequalities. Such a state of affairs has been called a Silvery Equilibrium, which is reduced to the familiar Golden Equilibrium in the particular case where no worker saves and no capitalist consumes at all. In this chapter, the existence is established of a balanced growth at the natural rate in one step but not two. The impossibility of perverse cases is demonstrated if various assumptions put forward in Ch. 6 are made. The new argument uses game theory as before. The different sections of the chapter look at the game‐theoretic approach, the preliminary production‐pricing game, the existence and uniqueness of the ‘fair’ wage rate, equivalence between the ‘game‐theoretic’ and ‘balanced growth’ solutions, groping for the equilibrium game, the equilibrium game and the Silvery Equilibrium, and characterization of the fair wage rate as the warranted and the greatest technically possible real wage rate.
Michio Morishima
- Published in print:
- 1969
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198281641
- eISBN:
- 9780191596667
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198281641.003.0015
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Development, Growth, and Environmental
The argument developed in the previous chapter was based on the tacit assumption that the production of goods by means of goods and labour is independent of the feeding of labour, and was described ...
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The argument developed in the previous chapter was based on the tacit assumption that the production of goods by means of goods and labour is independent of the feeding of labour, and was described in terms of the matrices of input and output coefficients and the vector of labour‐input coefficients, all of which were considered as technologically given constants. However, it is difficult to obtain precise figures of these coefficients, especially for the labour‐input coefficients, without knowing how and at what level people are fed; the productivity of labour depends not only on technology in the narrowest sense but also on the workers’ state of health, their living and working conditions, etc. Further, in a slave economy, with the wages fixed at a subsistence level, the productivity of labour was low, and it is this that led to its replacement by a more productive system—the capitalist economy. It is not surprising that outputs of goods might increase, even though the allocation of available goods among industries and families became unfavourable for the former; in fact, the positive indirect effect on outputs of a transfer of goods from industries to families causing an improvement in the welfare of the workers might be so strong as to overcome the negative direct effect on outputs of the decrease in industrial inputs. Thus, the production of goods and the feeding of men should be treated as an inseparable process, and this is the approach taken in this chapter, which discusses: the production of goods and ‘men’ by means of goods and ‘men’; the properties of aggregate production processes; conditions for the Silvery Equilibrium; modification of the rule of competitive pricing such that Keynesian involuntary unemployment is allowed for; the existence of ‘quasi‐equilibrium’ processes and prices; the upper semicontinuity of quasi‐equilibrium prices; the equilibration of quasi‐equilibrium; efficiency and optimality in an economy with a flexible labour force; instantaneous efficiency and Pareto optimality of the Silvery Equilibrium; the possibility of optimum cyclical growth of production of goods and men; and the intertemporal efficiency and Pareto optimality of the Golden Equilibrium.Less
The argument developed in the previous chapter was based on the tacit assumption that the production of goods by means of goods and labour is independent of the feeding of labour, and was described in terms of the matrices of input and output coefficients and the vector of labour‐input coefficients, all of which were considered as technologically given constants. However, it is difficult to obtain precise figures of these coefficients, especially for the labour‐input coefficients, without knowing how and at what level people are fed; the productivity of labour depends not only on technology in the narrowest sense but also on the workers’ state of health, their living and working conditions, etc. Further, in a slave economy, with the wages fixed at a subsistence level, the productivity of labour was low, and it is this that led to its replacement by a more productive system—the capitalist economy. It is not surprising that outputs of goods might increase, even though the allocation of available goods among industries and families became unfavourable for the former; in fact, the positive indirect effect on outputs of a transfer of goods from industries to families causing an improvement in the welfare of the workers might be so strong as to overcome the negative direct effect on outputs of the decrease in industrial inputs. Thus, the production of goods and the feeding of men should be treated as an inseparable process, and this is the approach taken in this chapter, which discusses: the production of goods and ‘men’ by means of goods and ‘men’; the properties of aggregate production processes; conditions for the Silvery Equilibrium; modification of the rule of competitive pricing such that Keynesian involuntary unemployment is allowed for; the existence of ‘quasi‐equilibrium’ processes and prices; the upper semicontinuity of quasi‐equilibrium prices; the equilibration of quasi‐equilibrium; efficiency and optimality in an economy with a flexible labour force; instantaneous efficiency and Pareto optimality of the Silvery Equilibrium; the possibility of optimum cyclical growth of production of goods and men; and the intertemporal efficiency and Pareto optimality of the Golden Equilibrium.
Michio Morishima
- Published in print:
- 1969
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198281641
- eISBN:
- 9780191596667
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198281641.003.0016
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Development, Growth, and Environmental
The problem of optimum savings has been discussed by Ramsey on the assumption of a constant population and later by a number of economists on the more general assumption that the labour force expands ...
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The problem of optimum savings has been discussed by Ramsey on the assumption of a constant population and later by a number of economists on the more general assumption that the labour force expands at a constant exogenously fixed rate; different rates of population growth lead to different solutions; i.e. the path of optimum capital accumulation is relative to the population growth. In contrast, Meade and others have been concerned with the problem of optimum population, assuming among other things that at any given time the economy is provided with a given rate of savings as well as a given stock of capital equipment to be used; it follows that the path of optimum population is relative to capital accumulation. It is evident that these two partial optimization procedures should be synthesized so as to give a genuine supreme path, which is optimum with respect to both capital and population. This final chapter generalizes the Ramsey–Meade problem in that direction and shows that two kinds of long‐run paths—efficient and optimum paths—will under some conditions converge to the Golden Growth path when the time horizon of the paths becomes infinite; the two long‐run tendencies that are derived may be regarded as extensions of those discussed in the chapters entitled First and Second Turnpike Theorems. The different sections of the chapter discuss: the generalized Ramsey–Meade problem; the finding that the Golden Equilibrium rate of growth is greater than the Silvery Equilibrium rate; the Average Final State Turnpike Theorem; the strong superadditivity of processes—a sufficient condition for strong convergence; the tendency towards the ‘top facet’ as the general rule; cyclic phenomena; the Average Consumption Turnpike Theorem and its proof; and aversion to fluctuation in consumption.Less
The problem of optimum savings has been discussed by Ramsey on the assumption of a constant population and later by a number of economists on the more general assumption that the labour force expands at a constant exogenously fixed rate; different rates of population growth lead to different solutions; i.e. the path of optimum capital accumulation is relative to the population growth. In contrast, Meade and others have been concerned with the problem of optimum population, assuming among other things that at any given time the economy is provided with a given rate of savings as well as a given stock of capital equipment to be used; it follows that the path of optimum population is relative to capital accumulation. It is evident that these two partial optimization procedures should be synthesized so as to give a genuine supreme path, which is optimum with respect to both capital and population. This final chapter generalizes the Ramsey–Meade problem in that direction and shows that two kinds of long‐run paths—efficient and optimum paths—will under some conditions converge to the Golden Growth path when the time horizon of the paths becomes infinite; the two long‐run tendencies that are derived may be regarded as extensions of those discussed in the chapters entitled First and Second Turnpike Theorems. The different sections of the chapter discuss: the generalized Ramsey–Meade problem; the finding that the Golden Equilibrium rate of growth is greater than the Silvery Equilibrium rate; the Average Final State Turnpike Theorem; the strong superadditivity of processes—a sufficient condition for strong convergence; the tendency towards the ‘top facet’ as the general rule; cyclic phenomena; the Average Consumption Turnpike Theorem and its proof; and aversion to fluctuation in consumption.
ROBERT V. DODGE
- Published in print:
- 2012
- Published Online:
- May 2012
- ISBN:
- 9780199857203
- eISBN:
- 9780199932597
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199857203.003.0020
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Behavioural Economics
This chapter considers randomization, beginning with its history as “fairness” in making decisions. It then examines “mixed strategies” and von Neumann's Minimax Theorem. A segment from Poe's The ...
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This chapter considers randomization, beginning with its history as “fairness” in making decisions. It then examines “mixed strategies” and von Neumann's Minimax Theorem. A segment from Poe's The Purloined Letter makes the point of randomizing one's choice when against an opponent who will outsmart you if you make a decision. A presentation of Schelling's class materials concerns randomizing to outsmart a burglar. The value of randomizing decisions is explained. These illustrations make the concept easy to comprehend without the complex mathematics often involved. The final section introduces the Nash Equilibrium, easily recognized in a 2 × 2 matrix, with examples. The Nash equilibrium often applies to bargaining and a matrix illustrates that Nash equilibria can exist and lead firms to form duopolies. There can be more than one Nash equilibrium. One solution, posited by Schelling, is that certain solutions have prominence and are selected among Nash equilibria. Schelling called them focal points.Less
This chapter considers randomization, beginning with its history as “fairness” in making decisions. It then examines “mixed strategies” and von Neumann's Minimax Theorem. A segment from Poe's The Purloined Letter makes the point of randomizing one's choice when against an opponent who will outsmart you if you make a decision. A presentation of Schelling's class materials concerns randomizing to outsmart a burglar. The value of randomizing decisions is explained. These illustrations make the concept easy to comprehend without the complex mathematics often involved. The final section introduces the Nash Equilibrium, easily recognized in a 2 × 2 matrix, with examples. The Nash equilibrium often applies to bargaining and a matrix illustrates that Nash equilibria can exist and lead firms to form duopolies. There can be more than one Nash equilibrium. One solution, posited by Schelling, is that certain solutions have prominence and are selected among Nash equilibria. Schelling called them focal points.
Marc Flandreau
- Published in print:
- 2004
- Published Online:
- August 2004
- ISBN:
- 9780199257867
- eISBN:
- 9780191601279
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0199257868.003.0002
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Economic History
Chapter 1 describes the international monetary landscape between 1848 and 1873. The prominent role of bullion is emphasized. It also reviews existing theories of the operation of a bimetallic system. ...
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Chapter 1 describes the international monetary landscape between 1848 and 1873. The prominent role of bullion is emphasized. It also reviews existing theories of the operation of a bimetallic system. The main point is that a bimetallic system rests on bimetallic arbitrage: agents will buy the depreciating metal and sell the appreciating one, herby stabilizing their relative value. This suggest that it is key to study the actual operation of bimetallic arbitrage.Less
Chapter 1 describes the international monetary landscape between 1848 and 1873. The prominent role of bullion is emphasized. It also reviews existing theories of the operation of a bimetallic system. The main point is that a bimetallic system rests on bimetallic arbitrage: agents will buy the depreciating metal and sell the appreciating one, herby stabilizing their relative value. This suggest that it is key to study the actual operation of bimetallic arbitrage.
Michio Morishima
- Published in print:
- 1969
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198281641
- eISBN:
- 9780191596667
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198281641.003.0013
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Development, Growth, and Environmental
Chapter 10 was concerned with the Final State Turnpike Theorem on the assumptions that consumption of each good per worker is fixed throughout the planning period and that the authorities try to ...
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Chapter 10 was concerned with the Final State Turnpike Theorem on the assumptions that consumption of each good per worker is fixed throughout the planning period and that the authorities try to maximize the stocks of goods that they can bestow, at the horizon, upon the future citizens; this chapter looks at a Second Turnpike Theorem. The partial optimization for the sake of the future should more properly be superseded by a general mutual optimization, so that the benefits from the properties initially available are shared between the people living in the planning period and those after that; this would inevitably cause confrontation with one of the hardest problems of economics—the interpersonal and intertemporal comparisons of utilities. In this chapter, attempts to solve the crux of the problem are abandoned and the other extreme is addressed: the conditions are derived for Ramsey optimality as distinct from DOSSO efficiency, i.e. optimization is in favour of the people in the planning period, and the satisfaction of the future residents is pegged at a certain level, of which the present residents approve. Among all feasible programmes that leave, at the end of the planning period, necessary amounts of goods for the future residents, the question is whether the people living choose a single one that is most preferable from their own point of view, i.e. there is a switch over of ideology from abstinence for the future to satisfaction in the transient life. The different sections of the chapter include discussion of: two norms of optimum growth—the Golden Balanced Growth path and the Consumption Turnpike; the existence of the Consumption Turnpike; the Silvery Rule of Accumulation’ the singular case where there is no discrimination between the living and the coming people; the Consumption Turnpike Theorem—the cases of the subjective time‐preference factor not being greater than the growth factor of the population, and of the former being greater than the latter; and an example of a cyclic Ramsey‐optimum growth.Less
Chapter 10 was concerned with the Final State Turnpike Theorem on the assumptions that consumption of each good per worker is fixed throughout the planning period and that the authorities try to maximize the stocks of goods that they can bestow, at the horizon, upon the future citizens; this chapter looks at a Second Turnpike Theorem. The partial optimization for the sake of the future should more properly be superseded by a general mutual optimization, so that the benefits from the properties initially available are shared between the people living in the planning period and those after that; this would inevitably cause confrontation with one of the hardest problems of economics—the interpersonal and intertemporal comparisons of utilities. In this chapter, attempts to solve the crux of the problem are abandoned and the other extreme is addressed: the conditions are derived for Ramsey optimality as distinct from DOSSO efficiency, i.e. optimization is in favour of the people in the planning period, and the satisfaction of the future residents is pegged at a certain level, of which the present residents approve. Among all feasible programmes that leave, at the end of the planning period, necessary amounts of goods for the future residents, the question is whether the people living choose a single one that is most preferable from their own point of view, i.e. there is a switch over of ideology from abstinence for the future to satisfaction in the transient life. The different sections of the chapter include discussion of: two norms of optimum growth—the Golden Balanced Growth path and the Consumption Turnpike; the existence of the Consumption Turnpike; the Silvery Rule of Accumulation’ the singular case where there is no discrimination between the living and the coming people; the Consumption Turnpike Theorem—the cases of the subjective time‐preference factor not being greater than the growth factor of the population, and of the former being greater than the latter; and an example of a cyclic Ramsey‐optimum growth.
Michio Morishima
- Published in print:
- 1969
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198281641
- eISBN:
- 9780191596667
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198281641.003.0003
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Development, Growth, and Environmental
Investigates whether a series of the short‐run equilibria starting from an arbitrarily (or historically) given capital–labour endowment will eventually approach the state of the long‐run or ‘Silvery ...
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Investigates whether a series of the short‐run equilibria starting from an arbitrarily (or historically) given capital–labour endowment will eventually approach the state of the long‐run or ‘Silvery Equilibrium’. Taking a neoclassical approach to growth equilibrium, it is found that once a more general model of flexible population growth is used, the Silvery Equilibrium may be unstable even though the relative capital‐intensity condition is satisfied. Also, the stability depends not only upon the capital intensities of the two industries but also upon the relative steepness of the warranted‐rate‐of‐growth and the natural‐rate‐of‐growth curve and the flexibility of workers’ and capitalists’ consumption–savings decisions.Less
Investigates whether a series of the short‐run equilibria starting from an arbitrarily (or historically) given capital–labour endowment will eventually approach the state of the long‐run or ‘Silvery Equilibrium’. Taking a neoclassical approach to growth equilibrium, it is found that once a more general model of flexible population growth is used, the Silvery Equilibrium may be unstable even though the relative capital‐intensity condition is satisfied. Also, the stability depends not only upon the capital intensities of the two industries but also upon the relative steepness of the warranted‐rate‐of‐growth and the natural‐rate‐of‐growth curve and the flexibility of workers’ and capitalists’ consumption–savings decisions.
Michio Morishima
- Published in print:
- 1969
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198281641
- eISBN:
- 9780191596667
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198281641.003.0004
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Development, Growth, and Environmental
Among the assumptions underlying the analysis of stability of growth equilibrium already made in the book, the following two have played the most important roles in deriving the conclusions: first, ...
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Among the assumptions underlying the analysis of stability of growth equilibrium already made in the book, the following two have played the most important roles in deriving the conclusions: first, prices and the wage rate are perfectly flexible so that the price of any good or any factor of production will go down to zero if excess supply of it cannot be eliminated (the Rule of Free Goods); second, unless the price of the capital service is zero, the existing stock of capital is fully utilized and investment is made according to the Acceleration Principle. However, as soon as a progression is made from the Walras‐type ‘flexprice’ model (where quantities are fixed in the short run, and prices adjust faster than quantities) to a ‘fixprice’ model (where prices are fixed in the short run, and quantities adjust faster than prices), either full employment of labour or full utilization of capital is no longer automatically established. Also, in the absence of full utilization of capital, it is evident that investment decisions do not obey the Acceleration Principle. The first four sections of this chapter look at price flexibility and full employment, the possibility of a Keynesian short‐run equilibrium with unemployment, the induction of centrifugal forces around the Silvery Equilibrium by the Harrodian investment function, and the necessity of unemployment in a ‘fixprice’ economy. The last section looks at the possibility of avoiding this last Iron Rule: that in fixprice economies where the Rule of Competitive Pricing does not work, a state of full employment cannot be kept unless the warranted rate of growth is equated with the natural rate of growth.Less
Among the assumptions underlying the analysis of stability of growth equilibrium already made in the book, the following two have played the most important roles in deriving the conclusions: first, prices and the wage rate are perfectly flexible so that the price of any good or any factor of production will go down to zero if excess supply of it cannot be eliminated (the Rule of Free Goods); second, unless the price of the capital service is zero, the existing stock of capital is fully utilized and investment is made according to the Acceleration Principle. However, as soon as a progression is made from the Walras‐type ‘flexprice’ model (where quantities are fixed in the short run, and prices adjust faster than quantities) to a ‘fixprice’ model (where prices are fixed in the short run, and quantities adjust faster than prices), either full employment of labour or full utilization of capital is no longer automatically established. Also, in the absence of full utilization of capital, it is evident that investment decisions do not obey the Acceleration Principle. The first four sections of this chapter look at price flexibility and full employment, the possibility of a Keynesian short‐run equilibrium with unemployment, the induction of centrifugal forces around the Silvery Equilibrium by the Harrodian investment function, and the necessity of unemployment in a ‘fixprice’ economy. The last section looks at the possibility of avoiding this last Iron Rule: that in fixprice economies where the Rule of Competitive Pricing does not work, a state of full employment cannot be kept unless the warranted rate of growth is equated with the natural rate of growth.
John Hicks
- Published in print:
- 1987
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198772873
- eISBN:
- 9780191596438
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198772874.003.0007
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics
This chapter considers the dynamic method developed by Erik Lindahl in 1929–30. It was worked out at just the same time as Keynes's Treatise; but it was (at least initially) quite independent of the ...
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This chapter considers the dynamic method developed by Erik Lindahl in 1929–30. It was worked out at just the same time as Keynes's Treatise; but it was (at least initially) quite independent of the Treatise, nor did Keynes know anything appreciable about it until after he had written the General Theory.Less
This chapter considers the dynamic method developed by Erik Lindahl in 1929–30. It was worked out at just the same time as Keynes's Treatise; but it was (at least initially) quite independent of the Treatise, nor did Keynes know anything appreciable about it until after he had written the General Theory.
John Hicks
- Published in print:
- 1987
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198772873
- eISBN:
- 9780191596438
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198772874.003.0008
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics
This chapter discusses the Fixprice method. It compares the method to the Temporary Equilibrium method. It considers the inherent tendency of the Fixprice method to ‘go macro’. It addresses questions ...
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This chapter discusses the Fixprice method. It compares the method to the Temporary Equilibrium method. It considers the inherent tendency of the Fixprice method to ‘go macro’. It addresses questions such as: What is the Fixprice theory of the working of a single market? In what ways does it differ from a Flexprice theory?Less
This chapter discusses the Fixprice method. It compares the method to the Temporary Equilibrium method. It considers the inherent tendency of the Fixprice method to ‘go macro’. It addresses questions such as: What is the Fixprice theory of the working of a single market? In what ways does it differ from a Flexprice theory?
Fernando Vega‐Redondo
- Published in print:
- 1996
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198774723
- eISBN:
- 9780191596971
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198774729.003.0002
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Microeconomics
Presents the basic theoretical framework and introduces the key notion of Evolutionarily Stable Strategy (ESS). The chapter addresses the issue of existence of ESS, the relationship of ESS to the ...
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Presents the basic theoretical framework and introduces the key notion of Evolutionarily Stable Strategy (ESS). The chapter addresses the issue of existence of ESS, the relationship of ESS to the standard game‐theoretic equilibrium concepts (such as Nash Equilibrium), the considerations arising in asymmetric contexts, or the implications of finite populations. It closes with an example on the evolution of cheap talk.Less
Presents the basic theoretical framework and introduces the key notion of Evolutionarily Stable Strategy (ESS). The chapter addresses the issue of existence of ESS, the relationship of ESS to the standard game‐theoretic equilibrium concepts (such as Nash Equilibrium), the considerations arising in asymmetric contexts, or the implications of finite populations. It closes with an example on the evolution of cheap talk.
Fernando Vega‐Redondo
- Published in print:
- 1996
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198774723
- eISBN:
- 9780191596971
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198774729.003.0005
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Microeconomics
The chapter introduces noise (conceived as mutation or experimentation) into evolutionary processes. This appears to be particularly well suited to tackle problems of equilibrium selection in games, ...
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The chapter introduces noise (conceived as mutation or experimentation) into evolutionary processes. This appears to be particularly well suited to tackle problems of equilibrium selection in games, e.g. in coordination setups. It is also shown to be useful for understanding market behaviour, and the contrast between competitive and oligopolistic competition.Less
The chapter introduces noise (conceived as mutation or experimentation) into evolutionary processes. This appears to be particularly well suited to tackle problems of equilibrium selection in games, e.g. in coordination setups. It is also shown to be useful for understanding market behaviour, and the contrast between competitive and oligopolistic competition.
Michio Morishima
- Published in print:
- 1969
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198281641
- eISBN:
- 9780191596667
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198281641.003.0010
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Development, Growth, and Environmental
The conditions for the Golden Equilibrium have been established earlier in the book and this chapter turns to an examination of the economy for stability; it asks whether a Hicks–Malinvaud ...
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The conditions for the Golden Equilibrium have been established earlier in the book and this chapter turns to an examination of the economy for stability; it asks whether a Hicks–Malinvaud competitive equilibrium trajectory starting from the historically given initial point approaches nearer and nearer to the state of Golden Equilibrium when the order of the path gets larger. This problem, which amounts to asking whether an economy obeying the principle of competition can attain a Golden Age, is discussed repeatedly in this chapter and the following one. Convergence of this sort will be compared with another kind of convergence recently dealt with by many writers under the common heading of Turnpike Theorems, particular applications of which may occur in more or less planned economies but not in purely competitive economies. In this chapter, the simple case of ‘L‐shaped’ indifference curves is examined. The different sections of the chapter compare the Hicks–Malinvaud equilibrium trajectory (Hicks–Malinvaud equilibrium growth path) with the DOSSO‐efficient path, discuss the Final State Turnpike Theorem, offer a proof of the theorem by the jyoseki (a formula in the game of go), present a lemma by Gale, discuss the convergence to the Turnpike, discuss yosses (the final part of a game of go) of the proof and cyclic exceptions, and look at the tendency towards the Golden Equilibrium of a competitive economy with no planning authorities.Less
The conditions for the Golden Equilibrium have been established earlier in the book and this chapter turns to an examination of the economy for stability; it asks whether a Hicks–Malinvaud competitive equilibrium trajectory starting from the historically given initial point approaches nearer and nearer to the state of Golden Equilibrium when the order of the path gets larger. This problem, which amounts to asking whether an economy obeying the principle of competition can attain a Golden Age, is discussed repeatedly in this chapter and the following one. Convergence of this sort will be compared with another kind of convergence recently dealt with by many writers under the common heading of Turnpike Theorems, particular applications of which may occur in more or less planned economies but not in purely competitive economies. In this chapter, the simple case of ‘L‐shaped’ indifference curves is examined. The different sections of the chapter compare the Hicks–Malinvaud equilibrium trajectory (Hicks–Malinvaud equilibrium growth path) with the DOSSO‐efficient path, discuss the Final State Turnpike Theorem, offer a proof of the theorem by the jyoseki (a formula in the game of go), present a lemma by Gale, discuss the convergence to the Turnpike, discuss yosses (the final part of a game of go) of the proof and cyclic exceptions, and look at the tendency towards the Golden Equilibrium of a competitive economy with no planning authorities.
Michio Morishima
- Published in print:
- 1969
- Published Online:
- November 2003
- ISBN:
- 9780198281641
- eISBN:
- 9780191596667
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/0198281641.003.0011
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Development, Growth, and Environmental
Earlier chapters in the book have: introduced consumer's choice into the conventional framework of economic growth originated by J. von Neumann, and assumed that consumers are classified into two ...
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Earlier chapters in the book have: introduced consumer's choice into the conventional framework of economic growth originated by J. von Neumann, and assumed that consumers are classified into two broad groups of persons—the worker and the capitalist (Ch. 6 ); observed that a balanced growth equilibrium obtained when only the worker consumes and only the capitalist saves is distinguished as the ‘best’ one from all other possible states of balanced growth and is, therefore, referred to as the Golden Equilibrium (Ch. 10); and concentrated on a particular economy where the capitalist is thrifty enough to carry out no consumption of goods at all while the worker is well paid so that he/she can buy goods in the Golden Equilibrium amounts, thus enabling the establishment of convergence to the Turnpike (Ch. 10). The following question is then naturally asked: Is the Golden Equilibrium still stable when the assumption of rigid consumption is replaced by the more realistic one that the worker's demand for consumption goods depends on prices and the wage income? In association with the assumption of rigid consumption, Ch. 10 made another powerful assumption that there is no shortage at all in the supply of labour; an economy was considered where the labour force grows at a constant rate, which is exogenously determined, and it was found that a state of balanced growth is compatible with such a flexible demand schedule. Therefore, it is suspected that the flexible demand for consumption goods is an additional cause of the cyclic behaviour of the Hicks–Malinvaud competitive equilibrium path and the DOSSO‐efficient growth path. The different sections of this chapter look at the possibility that flexible demand for consumption goods may cause cycles, the possibility of a Hicks–Malinvaud path in this case (and a numerical example), the DOSSO efficiency in the case of flexible consumption, and a DOSSO zigzag.Less
Earlier chapters in the book have: introduced consumer's choice into the conventional framework of economic growth originated by J. von Neumann, and assumed that consumers are classified into two broad groups of persons—the worker and the capitalist (Ch. 6 ); observed that a balanced growth equilibrium obtained when only the worker consumes and only the capitalist saves is distinguished as the ‘best’ one from all other possible states of balanced growth and is, therefore, referred to as the Golden Equilibrium (Ch. 10); and concentrated on a particular economy where the capitalist is thrifty enough to carry out no consumption of goods at all while the worker is well paid so that he/she can buy goods in the Golden Equilibrium amounts, thus enabling the establishment of convergence to the Turnpike (Ch. 10). The following question is then naturally asked: Is the Golden Equilibrium still stable when the assumption of rigid consumption is replaced by the more realistic one that the worker's demand for consumption goods depends on prices and the wage income? In association with the assumption of rigid consumption, Ch. 10 made another powerful assumption that there is no shortage at all in the supply of labour; an economy was considered where the labour force grows at a constant rate, which is exogenously determined, and it was found that a state of balanced growth is compatible with such a flexible demand schedule. Therefore, it is suspected that the flexible demand for consumption goods is an additional cause of the cyclic behaviour of the Hicks–Malinvaud competitive equilibrium path and the DOSSO‐efficient growth path. The different sections of this chapter look at the possibility that flexible demand for consumption goods may cause cycles, the possibility of a Hicks–Malinvaud path in this case (and a numerical example), the DOSSO efficiency in the case of flexible consumption, and a DOSSO zigzag.
Kartik B. Athreya
- Published in print:
- 2013
- Published Online:
- May 2014
- ISBN:
- 9780262019736
- eISBN:
- 9780262314404
- Item type:
- book
- Publisher:
- The MIT Press
- DOI:
- 10.7551/mitpress/9780262019736.001.0001
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics
In the wake of recent events, macroeconomics has come under intense scrutiny, often from non-economists. Yet because macroeconomics is now a highly technical undertaking, it will be very hard for ...
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In the wake of recent events, macroeconomics has come under intense scrutiny, often from non-economists. Yet because macroeconomics is now a highly technical undertaking, it will be very hard for non-specialists on their own to sift through the body of knowledge we have accumulated, or to assess the manner in which we structure inquiries. Unless one finds this satisfactory, and I do not, the profession has some work to do. This book is an attempt to describe, in entirely nontechnical (i.e. plain English) terms, where modern macroeconomics gets its ideas from and how it goes about its business. The target audience is that of thoughtful and curious readers who lack the narrow background or time needed to read either advanced textbooks or articles in academic economics journals.Less
In the wake of recent events, macroeconomics has come under intense scrutiny, often from non-economists. Yet because macroeconomics is now a highly technical undertaking, it will be very hard for non-specialists on their own to sift through the body of knowledge we have accumulated, or to assess the manner in which we structure inquiries. Unless one finds this satisfactory, and I do not, the profession has some work to do. This book is an attempt to describe, in entirely nontechnical (i.e. plain English) terms, where modern macroeconomics gets its ideas from and how it goes about its business. The target audience is that of thoughtful and curious readers who lack the narrow background or time needed to read either advanced textbooks or articles in academic economics journals.
José M. Bernardo
- Published in print:
- 2011
- Published Online:
- January 2012
- ISBN:
- 9780199694587
- eISBN:
- 9780191731921
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199694587.003.0001
- Subject:
- Mathematics, Probability / Statistics
The complete final product of Bayesian inference is the posterior distribution of the quantity of interest. Important inference summaries include point estimation, region estimation and precise ...
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The complete final product of Bayesian inference is the posterior distribution of the quantity of interest. Important inference summaries include point estimation, region estimation and precise hypotheses testing. Those summaries may appropriately be described as the solution to specific decision problems which depend on the particular loss function chosen. The use of a continuous loss function leads to an integrated set of solutions where the same prior distribution may be used throughout. Objective Bayesian methods are those which use a prior distribution which only depends on the assumed model and the quantity of interest. As a consequence, objective Bayesian methods produce results which only depend on the assumed model and the data obtained. The combined use of intrinsic discrepancy, an invariant information‐based loss function, and appropriately defined reference priors, provides an integrated objective Bayesian solution to both estimation and hypothesis testing problems. The ideas are illustrated with a large collection of non‐trivial examples.Less
The complete final product of Bayesian inference is the posterior distribution of the quantity of interest. Important inference summaries include point estimation, region estimation and precise hypotheses testing. Those summaries may appropriately be described as the solution to specific decision problems which depend on the particular loss function chosen. The use of a continuous loss function leads to an integrated set of solutions where the same prior distribution may be used throughout. Objective Bayesian methods are those which use a prior distribution which only depends on the assumed model and the quantity of interest. As a consequence, objective Bayesian methods produce results which only depend on the assumed model and the data obtained. The combined use of intrinsic discrepancy, an invariant information‐based loss function, and appropriately defined reference priors, provides an integrated objective Bayesian solution to both estimation and hypothesis testing problems. The ideas are illustrated with a large collection of non‐trivial examples.
Paul Erickson
- Published in print:
- 2015
- Published Online:
- May 2016
- ISBN:
- 9780226097039
- eISBN:
- 9780226097206
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- University of Chicago Press
- DOI:
- 10.7208/chicago/9780226097206.003.0007
- Subject:
- History, History of Science, Technology, and Medicine
The appearances of game theory in evolutionary biology in the 1970s foreshadowed the theory’s widespread adoption in the social sciences in the 1980s. During this latter period, the analysis of ...
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The appearances of game theory in evolutionary biology in the 1970s foreshadowed the theory’s widespread adoption in the social sciences in the 1980s. During this latter period, the analysis of repeated “supergames” and, especially, the “non-cooperative” Nash Equilibrium solution concept for games (of which the evolutionarily stable strategy was a particular refinement), entered the mainstream of economic theory. This chapter therefore examines the nature of this brand of game theory’s appeal in the social sciences. Non-cooperative game theory held out the possibility of grounding an ultimate theory of society in parsimonious assumptions of individual self-interest, thereby also knitting together game theory’s normative, descriptive, and predictive aspects. This agenda sought to distinguish itself from von Neumann and Morgenstern’s earlier “cooperative” game theory and the “mathematical-institutional” approach to economics, with their insistence on the plurality of logically possible social orders. But even as non-cooperative game theory took off within economics during the 1980s, the hunt for non-cooperative solutions to games began to run into technical problems and interpretive challenges. As a result, even as game theory established itself as a widely-adopted modeling idiom in the social and biological sciences, its internal diversity and interpretive flexibility began to reassert itself.Less
The appearances of game theory in evolutionary biology in the 1970s foreshadowed the theory’s widespread adoption in the social sciences in the 1980s. During this latter period, the analysis of repeated “supergames” and, especially, the “non-cooperative” Nash Equilibrium solution concept for games (of which the evolutionarily stable strategy was a particular refinement), entered the mainstream of economic theory. This chapter therefore examines the nature of this brand of game theory’s appeal in the social sciences. Non-cooperative game theory held out the possibility of grounding an ultimate theory of society in parsimonious assumptions of individual self-interest, thereby also knitting together game theory’s normative, descriptive, and predictive aspects. This agenda sought to distinguish itself from von Neumann and Morgenstern’s earlier “cooperative” game theory and the “mathematical-institutional” approach to economics, with their insistence on the plurality of logically possible social orders. But even as non-cooperative game theory took off within economics during the 1980s, the hunt for non-cooperative solutions to games began to run into technical problems and interpretive challenges. As a result, even as game theory established itself as a widely-adopted modeling idiom in the social and biological sciences, its internal diversity and interpretive flexibility began to reassert itself.
Lawrence A. Boland
- Published in print:
- 2017
- Published Online:
- May 2017
- ISBN:
- 9780190274320
- eISBN:
- 9780190274368
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780190274320.003.0011
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Macro- and Monetary Economics
This chapter will critically examine today’s common ways to build equilibrium models. These specifically include Dynamic-Stochastic General Equilibrium models, game theoretical models and empirical ...
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This chapter will critically examine today’s common ways to build equilibrium models. These specifically include Dynamic-Stochastic General Equilibrium models, game theoretical models and empirical GE models. Each of these types of equilibrium model try to address the issues of how a model’s decision makers get the information needed to guarantee the attainment of a state of equilibrium. The chapter addresses the alleged limits of general equilibrium models (particularly the issues of dynamics, time and expectations), the current attempts to overcome the limits of general equilibrium models, and three empirical alternatives to Walrasian general equilibrium models. These alternatives include the Computable General Equilibrium models and the Applied General Equilibrium models. The third model involves building econometric models only after evaluating the statistical properties of the data before using them in the model.Less
This chapter will critically examine today’s common ways to build equilibrium models. These specifically include Dynamic-Stochastic General Equilibrium models, game theoretical models and empirical GE models. Each of these types of equilibrium model try to address the issues of how a model’s decision makers get the information needed to guarantee the attainment of a state of equilibrium. The chapter addresses the alleged limits of general equilibrium models (particularly the issues of dynamics, time and expectations), the current attempts to overcome the limits of general equilibrium models, and three empirical alternatives to Walrasian general equilibrium models. These alternatives include the Computable General Equilibrium models and the Applied General Equilibrium models. The third model involves building econometric models only after evaluating the statistical properties of the data before using them in the model.
Christopher O. Oriakhi
- Published in print:
- 2021
- Published Online:
- November 2021
- ISBN:
- 9780198867784
- eISBN:
- 9780191904509
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/oso/9780198867784.003.0017
- Subject:
- Chemistry, Physical Chemistry, Quantum and Theoretical Chemistry
Chemical Equilibrium reviews the principles of equilibrium in systems of gases and liquids, starting with the concepts of reversible and irreversible reactions and dynamic equilibrium. The ...
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Chemical Equilibrium reviews the principles of equilibrium in systems of gases and liquids, starting with the concepts of reversible and irreversible reactions and dynamic equilibrium. The equilibrium constant (K) and reaction quotient (Q) are described, and comparison of K and Q is used to determine the direction in which a reaction must proceed to reach equilibrium. Calculations involving K in terms of concentration and pressure are presented. The relationship between the magnitude of K, the equilibrium position and the concentrations of reactants and products is discussed for both homogeneous and heterogeneous equilibria. The chapter ends with a qualitative treatment of equilibrium based on Le Chatelier’s principle, as well as how changes in reaction conditions can disturb a chemical equilibrium and how the chemical reaction responds to those changes.Less
Chemical Equilibrium reviews the principles of equilibrium in systems of gases and liquids, starting with the concepts of reversible and irreversible reactions and dynamic equilibrium. The equilibrium constant (K) and reaction quotient (Q) are described, and comparison of K and Q is used to determine the direction in which a reaction must proceed to reach equilibrium. Calculations involving K in terms of concentration and pressure are presented. The relationship between the magnitude of K, the equilibrium position and the concentrations of reactants and products is discussed for both homogeneous and heterogeneous equilibria. The chapter ends with a qualitative treatment of equilibrium based on Le Chatelier’s principle, as well as how changes in reaction conditions can disturb a chemical equilibrium and how the chemical reaction responds to those changes.
Claus Munk
- Published in print:
- 2013
- Published Online:
- May 2013
- ISBN:
- 9780199585496
- eISBN:
- 9780191751790
- Item type:
- chapter
- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199585496.003.0007
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Econometrics
This chapter defines and studies the properties of financial market equilibria in frictionless exchange economies populated by utility-maximizing individuals. The concept of Pareto-optimal equilibria ...
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This chapter defines and studies the properties of financial market equilibria in frictionless exchange economies populated by utility-maximizing individuals. The concept of Pareto-optimal equilibria is introduced and shown to be intimately related to the idea of a central planner allocating aggregate resources to all individuals in the economy. Pareto-optimal equilibria are shown to lead to efficient sharing of the risks in the economy, which implies the individuals will agree on the state-price deflator. Financial market equilibria are demonstrated to be Pareto-optimal in all complete markets and in so-called effectively complete markets. The idea of a representative individual is explained, and the relation between the preferences of all individuals in the economy and the preferences of the hypothetical representative individual is discussed.Less
This chapter defines and studies the properties of financial market equilibria in frictionless exchange economies populated by utility-maximizing individuals. The concept of Pareto-optimal equilibria is introduced and shown to be intimately related to the idea of a central planner allocating aggregate resources to all individuals in the economy. Pareto-optimal equilibria are shown to lead to efficient sharing of the risks in the economy, which implies the individuals will agree on the state-price deflator. Financial market equilibria are demonstrated to be Pareto-optimal in all complete markets and in so-called effectively complete markets. The idea of a representative individual is explained, and the relation between the preferences of all individuals in the economy and the preferences of the hypothetical representative individual is discussed.