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Characterizing Uncertainty of Future Climate Change Projections using Hierarchical Bayesian Models *

Claudia Tebaldi, Bruno Sansó, and Richard L. Smith

in Bayesian Statistics 9

Published in print:
2011
Published Online:
January 2012
ISBN:
9780199694587
eISBN:
9780191731921
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199694587.003.0021
Subject:
Mathematics, Probability / Statistics

The use of projections from ensembles of climate models to characterize fu ture climate change at regional scales has become the most widely adopted framework, as opposed to what was standard ... More


Bayesian Model Specification: Heuristics And Examples

david draper

in Bayesian Theory and Applications

Published in print:
2013
Published Online:
May 2013
ISBN:
9780199695607
eISBN:
9780191744167
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199695607.003.0020
Subject:
Mathematics, Probability / Statistics

This chapter discusses optimal Bayesian model specification. It examines three methods that may be helpful in moving toward an optimal-model-specification goal. These methods are: an approach called ... More


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