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Constructing Cassandra: Reframing Intelligence Failure at the CIA, 1947-2001

Milo Jones and Philippe Silberzahn

Published in print:
2013
Published Online:
January 2014
ISBN:
9780804785808
eISBN:
9780804787154
Item type:
book
Publisher:
Stanford University Press
DOI:
10.11126/stanford/9780804785808.001.0001
Subject:
Political Science, Conflict Politics and Policy

The CIA was created in 1947 in large part to prevent another Pearl Harbor. On at least four dramatic occasions, the Agency failed at this task: prior to in the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962, the ... More


Surprise Attack: A Framework for Discussion

Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott

in Intelligence Success and Failure: The Human Factor

Published in print:
2017
Published Online:
March 2017
ISBN:
9780199341733
eISBN:
9780190677008
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199341733.003.0002
Subject:
Political Science, International Relations and Politics, Political Theory

Beginning with a theoretical overview of surprise attacks, we discuss their important role in military strategy and success. We describe our case selection strategy, using criteria based on attacks ... More


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