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External Bayesian Analysis for Computer Simulators *

Michael Goldstein

in Bayesian Statistics 9

Published in print:
2011
Published Online:
January 2012
ISBN:
9780199694587
eISBN:
9780191731921
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199694587.003.0007
Subject:
Mathematics, Probability / Statistics

Computer simulators offer a powerful approach for studying complex physical systems. We consider their use in current practice and the role of external uncertainty in bridging the gap between the ... More


Principles of Probability

N. Thompson Hobbs and Mevin B. Hooten

in Bayesian Models: A Statistical Primer for Ecologists

Published in print:
2015
Published Online:
October 2017
ISBN:
9780691159287
eISBN:
9781400866557
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
DOI:
10.23943/princeton/9780691159287.003.0003
Subject:
Biology, Ecology

This chapter describes the rules of probability as well as probability distributions. Because models are inherently, deliberately approximate, there comes a need to understand the approximation ... More


Momentum density studies by the Maximum Entropy Method

L. Dobrzyński

in X-Ray Compton Scattering

Published in print:
2004
Published Online:
September 2007
ISBN:
9780198501688
eISBN:
9780191718045
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198501688.003.0007
Subject:
Physics, Atomic, Laser, and Optical Physics

This chapter discusses the Maximum Entropy Method (MEM). It begins with a general introduction to MEM, then develops the application to the reconstruction of the three-dimensional electron density ... More


Bayesian Meta-analysis

Christopher H. Schmid and Kerrie Mengersen

in Handbook of Meta-analysis in Ecology and Evolution

Published in print:
2013
Published Online:
October 2017
ISBN:
9780691137285
eISBN:
9781400846184
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
DOI:
10.23943/princeton/9780691137285.003.0011
Subject:
Biology, Ecology

This chapter introduces a Bayesian approach to meta-analysis. It discusses the ways in which a Bayesian approach differs from the method of moments and maximum likelihood methods described in ... More


Extensions

Francis X. Diebold and Glenn D. Rudebusch

in Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting: The Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Approach

Published in print:
2013
Published Online:
October 2017
ISBN:
9780691146805
eISBN:
9781400845415
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
DOI:
10.23943/princeton/9780691146805.003.0004
Subject:
Economics and Finance, History of Economic Thought

This chapter highlights aspects of the vibrant ongoing research program associated with the ideas developed in earlier chapters. It begins with a collage-style sketch of work involving Bayesian ... More


Bayesian dynamic modelling

West Mike

in Bayesian Theory and Applications

Published in print:
2013
Published Online:
May 2013
ISBN:
9780199695607
eISBN:
9780191744167
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199695607.003.0008
Subject:
Mathematics, Probability / Statistics

This chapter focuses on some key models and ideas in Bayesian time series and forecasting, along with extracts from a few time series analysis and forecasting examples. It discusses specific ... More


Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models

Edward P. Herbst and Frank Schorfheide

Published in print:
2015
Published Online:
October 2017
ISBN:
9780691161082
eISBN:
9781400873739
Item type:
book
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
DOI:
10.23943/princeton/9780691161082.001.0001
Subject:
Economics and Finance, Econometrics

Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have become one of the workhorses of modern macroeconomics and are extensively used for academic research as well as forecasting and policy ... More


Uncertainty in Foreign Policy Making: Changing Relations among South Korea, North Korea, and the United States of America in the Twenty-First Century

HeeMin Kim

in Korean Democracy in Transition: A Rational Blueprint for Developing Societies

Published in print:
2011
Published Online:
September 2011
ISBN:
9780813129945
eISBN:
9780813135748
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
University Press of Kentucky
DOI:
10.5810/kentucky/9780813129945.003.0006
Subject:
Political Science, International Relations and Politics

This chapter discusses the changing political situation on the Korean peninsula. It establishes that the situation is amenable to Bayesian game analysis and presents an analysis of Bayesian games ... More


Empirical Models

Kevin A. Clarke and David M. Primo

in A Model Discipline: Political Science and the Logic of Representations

Published in print:
2012
Published Online:
May 2012
ISBN:
9780195382198
eISBN:
9780199932399
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:
10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195382198.003.0005
Subject:
Political Science, Comparative Politics

Empirical models are the subject of this chapter. We begin by defining what an empirical model is and its relationship to the data. We discuss how to understand an empirical model under the ... More


Bayes, Hume, Price, and Miracles

John Earman

in Bayes's Theorem

Published in print:
2005
Published Online:
January 2012
ISBN:
9780197263419
eISBN:
9780191734175
Item type:
chapter
Publisher:
British Academy
DOI:
10.5871/bacad/9780197263419.003.0005
Subject:
Philosophy, Logic/Philosophy of Mathematics

This chapter discusses the Bayesian analysis of miracles. It is set in the context of the eighteenth-century debate on miracles. The discussion is focused on the probable response of Thomas Bayes to ... More


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