## External Bayesian Analysis for Computer Simulators *

*Michael Goldstein*

### in Bayesian Statistics 9

- Published in print:
- 2011
- Published Online:
- January 2012
- ISBN:
- 9780199694587
- eISBN:
- 9780191731921
- Item type:
- chapter

- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199694587.003.0007
- Subject:
- Mathematics, Probability / Statistics

Computer simulators offer a powerful approach for studying complex physical systems. We consider their use in current practice and the role of external uncertainty in bridging the gap between the ... More

## Principles of Probability

*N. Thompson Hobbs and Mevin B. Hooten*

### in Bayesian Models: A Statistical Primer for Ecologists

- Published in print:
- 2015
- Published Online:
- October 2017
- ISBN:
- 9780691159287
- eISBN:
- 9781400866557
- Item type:
- chapter

- Publisher:
- Princeton University Press
- DOI:
- 10.23943/princeton/9780691159287.003.0003
- Subject:
- Biology, Ecology

This chapter describes the rules of probability as well as probability distributions. Because models are inherently, deliberately approximate, there comes a need to understand the approximation ... More

## Momentum density studies by the Maximum Entropy Method

*L. Dobrzyński*

### in X-Ray Compton Scattering

- Published in print:
- 2004
- Published Online:
- September 2007
- ISBN:
- 9780198501688
- eISBN:
- 9780191718045
- Item type:
- chapter

- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198501688.003.0007
- Subject:
- Physics, Atomic, Laser, and Optical Physics

This chapter discusses the Maximum Entropy Method (MEM). It begins with a general introduction to MEM, then develops the application to the reconstruction of the three-dimensional electron density ... More

## Bayesian Meta-analysis

*Christopher H. Schmid and Kerrie Mengersen*

### in Handbook of Meta-analysis in Ecology and Evolution

- Published in print:
- 2013
- Published Online:
- October 2017
- ISBN:
- 9780691137285
- eISBN:
- 9781400846184
- Item type:
- chapter

- Publisher:
- Princeton University Press
- DOI:
- 10.23943/princeton/9780691137285.003.0011
- Subject:
- Biology, Ecology

This chapter introduces a Bayesian approach to meta-analysis. It discusses the ways in which a Bayesian approach differs from the method of moments and maximum likelihood methods described in ... More

## Bayesian dynamic modelling

*West Mike*

### in Bayesian Theory and Applications

- Published in print:
- 2013
- Published Online:
- May 2013
- ISBN:
- 9780199695607
- eISBN:
- 9780191744167
- Item type:
- chapter

- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199695607.003.0008
- Subject:
- Mathematics, Probability / Statistics

This chapter focuses on some key models and ideas in Bayesian time series and forecasting, along with extracts from a few time series analysis and forecasting examples. It discusses specific ... More

## Extensions

*Francis X. Diebold and Glenn D. Rudebusch*

### in Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting: The Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Approach

- Published in print:
- 2013
- Published Online:
- October 2017
- ISBN:
- 9780691146805
- eISBN:
- 9781400845415
- Item type:
- chapter

- Publisher:
- Princeton University Press
- DOI:
- 10.23943/princeton/9780691146805.003.0004
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, History of Economic Thought

This chapter highlights aspects of the vibrant ongoing research program associated with the ideas developed in earlier chapters. It begins with a collage-style sketch of work involving Bayesian ... More

## Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models

*Edward P. Herbst and Frank Schorfheide*

- Published in print:
- 2015
- Published Online:
- October 2017
- ISBN:
- 9780691161082
- eISBN:
- 9781400873739
- Item type:
- book

- Publisher:
- Princeton University Press
- DOI:
- 10.23943/princeton/9780691161082.001.0001
- Subject:
- Economics and Finance, Econometrics

Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have become one of the workhorses of modern macroeconomics and are extensively used for academic research as well as forecasting and policy ... More

## Uncertainty in Foreign Policy Making: Changing Relations among South Korea, North Korea, and the United States of America in the Twenty-First Century

*HeeMin Kim*

### in Korean Democracy in Transition: A Rational Blueprint for Developing Societies

- Published in print:
- 2011
- Published Online:
- September 2011
- ISBN:
- 9780813129945
- eISBN:
- 9780813135748
- Item type:
- chapter

- Publisher:
- University Press of Kentucky
- DOI:
- 10.5810/kentucky/9780813129945.003.0006
- Subject:
- Political Science, International Relations and Politics

This chapter discusses the changing political situation on the Korean peninsula. It establishes that the situation is amenable to Bayesian game analysis and presents an analysis of Bayesian games ... More

## Empirical Models

*Kevin A. Clarke and David M. Primo*

### in A Model Discipline: Political Science and the Logic of Representations

- Published in print:
- 2012
- Published Online:
- May 2012
- ISBN:
- 9780195382198
- eISBN:
- 9780199932399
- Item type:
- chapter

- Publisher:
- Oxford University Press
- DOI:
- 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195382198.003.0005
- Subject:
- Political Science, Comparative Politics

Empirical models are the subject of this chapter. We begin by defining what an empirical model is and its relationship to the data. We discuss how to understand an empirical model under the ... More

## Bayes, Hume, Price, and Miracles

*John Earman*

### in Bayes's Theorem

- Published in print:
- 2005
- Published Online:
- January 2012
- ISBN:
- 9780197263419
- eISBN:
- 9780191734175
- Item type:
- chapter

- Publisher:
- British Academy
- DOI:
- 10.5871/bacad/9780197263419.003.0005
- Subject:
- Philosophy, Logic/Philosophy of Mathematics

This chapter discusses the Bayesian analysis of miracles. It is set in the context of the eighteenth-century debate on miracles. The discussion is focused on the probable response of Thomas Bayes to ... More